Paneles fotovoltáicos en Ecuador.
Proyecto rechazado en La Tejedora Distrito Creativo de invertir en Paneles Solares. Proyecto rechazado en el 2022, todo listo, y rechazado.
Tony Seba is a well-known author, entrepreneur, and thought leader, particularly in the areas of innovation, technology, and disruptive business models. He is a prominent advocate for the rapid transition to clean energy and autonomous technologies. Seba is especially recognized for his work on the future of transportation, energy, and artificial intelligence.
He is the author of books like Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation and Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030, where he explores how technological advancements will disrupt industries, particularly energy and transportation, in the coming decade. Seba argues that technologies like electric vehicles, autonomous driving, and solar energy are set to revolutionize industries, reduce costs, and significantly impact the economy and society.
His work is often cited by those who are interested in the future of sustainable and disruptive technologies.
ony Seba is a renowned futurist and author known for his bold predictions on technological disruptions, particularly in energy, transportation, and food sectors. His forecasts often emphasize the rapid convergence of technologies leading to significant societal transformations.
Recent Predictions (2024-2030):
In early 2024, Seba outlined several key predictions for the period leading up to 2030:
- Transportation: He anticipates that electric vehicles (EVs) will constitute 50% of new car sales in China within the year. Additionally, he predicts a 75% reduction in global new car sales by 2030, driven by the longevity and autonomy of EVs.
- Energy: Seba forecasts that solar power will become the cheapest source of electricity, with costs decreasing by an additional 70% over the next decade. He also projects that lithium-ion battery costs will drop by 80% in the same timeframe.
- Food and Agriculture: He predicts that precision fermentation will significantly reduce the cost of producing food ingredients like proteins, fats, and vitamins, potentially disrupting traditional livestock farming.
Accuracy of Past Predictions:
Seba’s previous forecasts have demonstrated a high degree of accuracy:
- Battery Costs: In 2014, he predicted that battery costs would decrease from around $500 per kWh to $100 per kWh by 2023. This projection has been largely accurate, with current battery costs aligning closely with his forecast.
- Solar Energy: He was among the first to predict the rapid expansion of solar energy, anticipating significant cost reductions and widespread adoption. This has materialized, with solar power becoming increasingly cost-competitive globally.
While Seba’s predictions are often optimistic, they are grounded in data-driven analyses and historical patterns of technological adoption. His work continues to influence discussions on the future of technology and its societal impacts.
For a more in-depth look at his recent predictions, you might find the following video insightful:
Tony Seba’s prediction that solar power will become the cheapest source of electricity, with costs decreasing by an additional 70% over the next decade, aligns with current trends in the energy sector. As of 2024, solar photovoltaic (PV) technology has achieved significant cost reductions, making it increasingly competitive with traditional energy sources.
Solar Power Cost Trends:
- Historical Cost Reductions: Over the past decade, the cost of solar PV has decreased substantially. In 2010, the cost of generating solar PV energy was approximately 15 cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh). By 2020, this had dropped to 3-5 cents per kWh, a reduction of about 80-90%. This trend has continued, with some regions achieving even lower costs.
- Current and Projected Costs: As of 2024, the cost of solar electricity has continued to decline, with some projects securing prices below 2 cents per kWh. This trend is expected to persist, with projections indicating that solar power could become the cheapest source of electricity globally within the next few years.
Lithium-Ion Battery Cost Trends:
- Historical Cost Reductions: In 2014, Seba predicted that lithium-ion battery costs would decrease from around $500 per kWh to $100 per kWh by 2023. This forecast has been largely accurate, with current battery costs aligning closely with his projection.
- Current and Projected Costs: As of 2024, lithium-ion battery costs have continued to decline. For instance, Chinese battery manufacturer CATL has reduced the cost of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cells to as low as $56 per kWh, surpassing Seba’s earlier predictions.
Projections suggest that battery costs could continue to decrease, potentially reaching $50 per kWh by 2027.
Conclusion:
Seba’s predictions regarding the cost reductions of solar power and lithium-ion batteries have proven to be accurate and, in some cases, more optimistic than initially anticipated. The ongoing trends in the energy sector suggest that these technologies will continue to become more affordable, supporting the transition to renewable energy sources.
Tony Seba just revealed why Elon Musk is no longer interested in EVs
https://www.j3mglobal.com/
J3M Global. Estamos en la Avenida Amazonas y Azuay. Edificio Confianza. Oficina 5-01. Quito, Ecuador.
(+593) 098 420 6726
https://listado.mercadolibre.com.ec/paneles-solares#D[A:paneles%20solares%20]
– Potencia máxima (W) = 320 $219,99.
– Voltaje de circuito abierto [V]: 46.
– Cortocircuito corriente [A]: 9,18.
– Tensión máxima de alimentación [V]: 42,2.
– Potencia máxima de corriente [A]: 7,37.
– Caja de terminales: IP65.
– Eficiencia [%]: 19,2 .
– Serie de fusible [A]: 15.
– Máxima tensión del sistema [V]: DC 1000.
– Peso: 10.9 Kg.
– Celdas Solares: 72.
– Cable: LAPP( 4mm²).
– Dimensiones (Altura x Ancho x Profundidad): 1960*990*40.
– Distancia Cable: 900 mm.
– Conector: MC Plug Type IV (MC4).
Sucursal 1: Naciones Unidas- junto a SuperCines, Quito.
Horarios de Atención: Lunes a Viernes de 9h00 a 18h00 / Sábados y Domingo de 9h00 a 16:00h..
https://heliostrategiaecuador.com/esolar/
Contacto Helios : +593 9 83 57 01 50 – alexandre.gay@heliostrategiaecuador.com
Contacto Helios: +593 9 88 19 06 24 – veronica.molina@heliostrategiaecuador.com
https://www.renova-energia.com/categoria-producto/paneles-solares/
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Oficinas Quito
Sánchez Melo OE1-37 y Av. Galo Plaza Lasso -
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yfernandez@renova-energia.com
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